NHL · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Ottawa Senators — Florida Panthers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Ottawa Senators are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- Ottawa Senators are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ottawa Senators — Florida Panthers | 2.8–2.6 | |
| Ottawa Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Florida Panthers to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Ottawa Senators
- Ottawa Senators goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10St. Louis Blues2:7
- 13.10away · New Jersey Devils4:1
- 11.10Nashville Predators3:2 SO
- 09.10Philadelphia Flyers2:1
- 07.10away · Detroit Red Wings3:5
- 14.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets7:3
- 12.10away · Buffalo Sabres3:5
- 11.10Minnesota Wild1:4
- 07.10away · Los Angeles Kings2:1
- 05.10away · Anaheim Ducks2:3 OT
Head to head
- 10.04.2026Ottawa Senators — Florida Panthers5:1
- 01.04.2026Florida Panthers — Ottawa Senators6:3
- 11.01.2026Ottawa Senators — Florida Panthers2:3
- 12.10.2025Florida Panthers — Ottawa Senators6:2
- 05.04.2025Ottawa Senators — Florida Panthers3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 7 | 5 | +8 | 10 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Ottawa Senators | 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 5 | 4 | +8 | 9 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Tampa Bay Lightning | 6 | 4 | +1 | 8 |
| 14, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Florida Panthers | 7 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Pittsburgh Penguins | 7 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
NHL on the same day
- Buffalo SabresPhiladelphia Flyerspreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →