NHL · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators — Nashville Predators
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:2 SOCame true
In short
Final score 3:2 SO: the model's most likely outcome, Ottawa Senators to win (63% incl. overtime), came true.
Ottawa Senators are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- Ottawa Senators are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ottawa Senators — Nashville Predators | 3.1–2.4 | |
| Ottawa Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 63% | |
| Nashville Predators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 37% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Ottawa Senators
- Ottawa Senators goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10Philadelphia Flyers2:1
- 07.10away · Detroit Red Wings3:5
- 06.10away · Boston Bruins4:1
- 04.10away · Toronto Maple Leafs3:2
- 25.04Carolina Hurricanes2:4
- 09.10away · Montreal Canadiens5:2
- 07.10away · Toronto Maple Leafs4:5 OT
- 04.10Dallas Stars2:1
- 02.10Minnesota Wild1:3
- 17.04Anaheim Ducks4:5
Head to head
- 23.01.2026Nashville Predators — Ottawa Senators5:3
- 13.10.2025Ottawa Senators — Nashville Predators1:4
- 04.02.2025Nashville Predators — Ottawa Senators2:5
- 08.12.2024Ottawa Senators — Nashville Predators3:1
- 28.02.2024Nashville Predators — Ottawa Senators4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 7 | 5 | +8 | 10 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Ottawa Senators | 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 5 | 4 | +8 | 9 |
| 21 | Washington Capitals | 6 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 22 | Nashville Predators | 6 | 2 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | San Jose Sharks | 5 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
Next matches
- New Jersey DevilsOttawa Senators13 October · NHL41592The most likely outcome came true: 223%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 1:4, exactly right.5.3
- Nashville PredatorsVegas Golden Knights14 October · NHL51491The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
NHL on the same day
- 51491The most likely outcome did not happen: 124%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 4:1.5.4
- 50502The most likely outcome came true: 223%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:5.5.8
- 29712The most likely outcome came true: 221%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 1:4.5.4
- 71291The most likely outcome did not happen: 120%3:6Final score 3:6. Model's score: 5:2.6.0
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 121%1:0SOFinal score 1:0 in a shootout. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 41592The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%2:1SOFinal score 2:1 in a shootout. Model's score: 2:5.6.0
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:3Final score 5:3. Model's score: 5:2.5.7
- 47532The most likely outcome came true: 224%3:5Final score 3:5. Model's score: 1:4.5.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →