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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Pardubice — Mlada Boleslav

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Model prediction for 1 November

Pardubice66%
Draw in regulation18%
Mlada Boleslav16%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Pardubice are clear favourites: 78% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.

Why

  • Pardubice are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 1.7.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Pardubice — Mlada Boleslav3.3–1.7
Pardubice to win (incl. OT and shootout)78%
Mlada Boleslav to win (incl. OT and shootout)22%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)43%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)57%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Pardubice
  • Pardubice goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Pardubice

  • 11.10Trinec5:4 OT
  • 09.10away · Vitkovice3:2
  • 04.10Sparta Prague6:4
  • 02.10Plzen4:2
  • 29.09Ceske Budejovice5:2

Mlada Boleslav

  • 11.10Litvinov2:1
  • 09.10away · Kladno3:4
  • 04.10Liberec3:5
  • 02.10away · Kometa Brno2:3 SO
  • 29.09Plzen1:4

Head to head

  • 25.09.2026Mlada Boleslav — Pardubice1:4
  • 16.01.2026Mlada Boleslav — Pardubice4:2
  • 05.12.2025Pardubice — Mlada Boleslav5:2
  • 19.10.2025Mlada Boleslav — Pardubice0:2
  • 14.09.2025Pardubice — Mlada Boleslav4:1

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsTrinec10901049–23+2628
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPardubice11810247–31+1626
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsKarlovy Vary9600322–16+618
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKometa Brno9221425–28-311
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMlada Boleslav10211623–36-139
13Vitkovice9201621–32-117

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • LiberecMountfield HKpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • Sparta PragueLitvinovpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 4:15.1
  • PlzenKladnopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.4
  • Ceske BudejoviceKarlovy Varypreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • Kometa BrnoOlomoucpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:15.0
  • VitkoviceTrinecpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →