Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Sparta Prague — Litvinov
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sparta Prague are clear favourites: 77% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.
Why
- Sparta Prague are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 1.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sparta Prague — Litvinov | 3.3–1.8 | |
| Sparta Prague to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 77% | |
| Litvinov to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 23% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 45% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Sparta Prague
- Sparta Prague goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Vitkovice3:0
- 08.10Kometa Brno3:4 OT
- 04.10away · Pardubice4:6
- 01.10Ceske Budejovice4:2
- 29.09away · Mountfield HK3:4
- 11.10away · Mlada Boleslav1:2
- 09.10Olomouc3:1
- 04.10Kladno2:3 OT
- 02.10away · Trinec2:3
- 29.09Liberec5:4 SO
Head to head
- 25.09.2026Litvinov — Sparta Prague1:4
- 13.01.2026Sparta Prague — Litvinov5:1
- 19.12.2025Litvinov — Sparta Prague3:2
- 26.10.2025Sparta Prague — Litvinov2:1
- 19.09.2025Litvinov — Sparta Prague1:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kladno | 10 | 3 | -3 | 15 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Sparta Prague | 10 | 4 | +3 | 14 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Liberec | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Litvinov | 10 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 11, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kometa Brno | 9 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
Czech Extraliga on the same day
- PardubiceMlada Boleslavpreliminary78221The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 3:15.0
- LiberecMountfield HKpreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7
- PlzenKladnopreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.4
- Ceske BudejoviceKarlovy Varypreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
- Kometa BrnoOlomoucpreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:15.0
- VitkoviceTrinecpreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →