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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Kometa Brno — Olomouc

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Model prediction for 1 November

Kometa Brno56%
Draw in regulation21%
Olomouc24%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Kometa Brno are clear favourites: 68% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.

Why

  • Kometa Brno are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.0.

Facts

  • League table: Kometa Brno — No. 11, 11 pts; Olomouc — No. 14, 5 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
  • Olomouc: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Kometa Brno 3 wins, Olomouc 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kometa Brno — Olomouc3.0–2.0
Kometa Brno to win (incl. OT and shootout)68%
Olomouc to win (incl. OT and shootout)32%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)44%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)56%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Kometa Brno
  • Kometa Brno goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Kometa Brno

  • 11.10Plzen1:2 OT
  • 08.10away · Sparta Prague4:3 OT
  • 05.10away · Ceske Budejovice1:5
  • 02.10Mlada Boleslav3:2 SO
  • 27.09Pardubice3:5

Olomouc

  • 11.10away · Mountfield HK1:3
  • 09.10away · Litvinov1:3
  • 04.10Trinec0:9
  • 02.10away · Liberec0:2
  • 29.09Vitkovice3:4

Head to head

  • 25.09.2026Olomouc — Kometa Brno2:4
  • 06.03.2026Kometa Brno — Olomouc5:4
  • 06.01.2026Olomouc — Kometa Brno3:2
  • 25.11.2025Kometa Brno — Olomouc1:2
  • 10.10.2025Olomouc — Kometa Brno1:2

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLitvinov10311524–28-412
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKometa Brno9221425–28-311
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMlada Boleslav10211623–36-139
13Vitkovice9201621–32-117
14, Relegation play-offOlomouc10110818–36-185

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • PardubiceMlada Boleslavpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 3:15.0
  • LiberecMountfield HKpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • Sparta PragueLitvinovpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 4:15.1
  • PlzenKladnopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.4
  • Ceske BudejoviceKarlovy Varypreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • VitkoviceTrinecpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →