PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Pelicans — Kiekko-Espoo

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 31 October

Pelicans39%
Draw in regulation23%
Kiekko-Espoo38%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Pelicans 50%, Kiekko-Espoo 50% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 4.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.2.

Facts

  • League table: Pelicans — No. 12, 16 pts; Kiekko-Espoo — No. 6, 20 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Pelicans 3 wins, Kiekko-Espoo 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Pelicans — Kiekko-Espoo2.2–2.2
Pelicans to win (incl. OT and shootout)50%
Kiekko-Espoo to win (incl. OT and shootout)50%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)33%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)67%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Pelicans
  • Pelicans goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Pelicans

  • 09.10Karpat2:3 OT
  • 03.10away · KooKoo6:3
  • 26.09IFK Helsinki2:1
  • 22.09away · Jokerit0:3
  • 19.09JYP1:3

Kiekko-Espoo

  • 09.10JYP6:1
  • 07.10away · Karpat7:8 OT
  • 03.10away · Ilves4:6
  • 02.10Karpat1:3
  • 30.09TPS Turku4:2

Head to head

  • 05.09.2026Kiekko-Espoo — Pelicans1:2
  • 13.12.2025Kiekko-Espoo — Pelicans2:3
  • 09.09.2025Pelicans — Kiekko-Espoo1:0 OT
  • 26.02.2025Kiekko-Espoo — Pelicans3:2 OT
  • 23.11.2024Pelicans — Kiekko-Espoo4:5

Full record: 5 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsJYP10700330–25+521
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKiekko-Espoo13513442–32+1020
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsSaiPa11521330–20+1020
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsTPS Turku11501529–25+416
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPelicans10501424–23+116
13, Relegation play-offKalPa11401627–29-213

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Liiga on the same day

  • IlvesKalPapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.1
  • JYPJokeritpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:15.2
  • KarpatJukuritpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
  • KooKooIFK Helsinkipreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.5
  • Vaasan SportAssatpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →