VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Friday, 30 October, MSK
Perm — HC Yugra
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
HC Yugra are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 3.8 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 21%.
Why
- HC Yugra are more dangerous in attack: 2.2 expected goals against 1.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Perm — HC Yugra | 1.6–2.2 | |
| Perm to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 35% | |
| HC Yugra to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 65% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 21% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 79% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Perm
- Perm goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10Buran Voronezh0:1
- 01.10away · Omskie Krylia0:1
- 29.09away · Kurgan3:0
- 27.09away · Rubin Tyumen3:4
- 21.09away · Dyn. Altay0:2
Head to head
- 18.12.2025Perm — HC Yugra2:5
- 15.11.2025HC Yugra — Perm3:0
- 28.02.2025Perm — HC Yugra1:2 OT
- 22.09.2024HC Yugra — Perm0:1
- 23.12.2023Perm — HC Yugra2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10, Playoffs | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 12 | 8 | +11 | 16 |
| 11, Playoffs | Perm | 12 | 8 | +7 | 16 |
| 12, Playoffs | Tambov | 13 | 7 | 0 | 16 |
| 20 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 13 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 21 | HC Yugra | 12 | 6 | +2 | 12 |
| 22 | Dizel | 13 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
VHL on the same day
- HC NorilskKhimikpreliminary31692The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.9
- Omskie KryliaOrskpreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.2
- TambovOlympiapreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →