VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Friday, 30 October, MSK
HC Norilsk — Khimik
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Khimik are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.
Why
- Khimik are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: HC Norilsk — Khimik | 2.0–3.0 | |
| HC Norilsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 31% | |
| Khimik to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 69% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 42% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap HC Norilsk
- HC Norilsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Perm3:1
- 10.10Toros Neftekamsk5:3
- 08.10Izhevsk3:2
- 06.10Olympia3:2
- 01.10away · Kristall Saratov3:2 SO
- 10.10away · Bars1:2
- 08.10away · Almetyevsk2:3
- 06.10away · CSK VVS8:2
- 02.10SKA-VMF St. Petersburg1:0
- 30.09Dinamo St. Petersburg4:3 OT
Head to head
- 13.02.2026Khimik — HC Norilsk2:3 SO
- 04.10.2025HC Norilsk — Khimik0:4
- 27.01.2025HC Norilsk — Khimik2:1
- 25.10.2024Khimik — HC Norilsk6:4
- 29.12.2023Khimik — HC Norilsk6:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs | Omskie Krylia | 13 | 10 | +18 | 20 |
| 4, Playoffs | HC Norilsk | 15 | 9 | +2 | 20 |
| 5, Playoffs | Orsk | 12 | 8 | +13 | 19 |
| 8, Playoffs | Kaluga | 13 | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 9, Playoffs | Khimik | 14 | 8 | +18 | 18 |
| 10, Playoffs | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 12 | 8 | +11 | 16 |
VHL on the same day
- Omskie KryliaOrskpreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.2
- PermHC Yugrapreliminary35652The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:23.8
- TambovOlympiapreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →