VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Tambov — Olympia

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Model prediction for 30 October

Tambov51%
Draw in regulation22%
Olympia27%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Tambov are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.

Why

  • Tambov are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Tambov — Olympia2.7–2.0
Tambov to win (incl. OT and shootout)64%
Olympia to win (incl. OT and shootout)36%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)38%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)62%

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Form

Tambov

  • 13.10away · Rubin Tyumen2:3 OT
  • 11.10away · Kurgan3:0
  • 09.10away · Omskie Krylia1:5
  • 03.10Dyn. Altay2:0
  • 01.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk3:0

Olympia

  • 13.10away · Dyn. Altay4:1
  • 11.10away · Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:2
  • 09.10away · Krasnoyarsk4:3
  • 06.10away · HC Norilsk2:3
  • 01.10Kaluga2:3 OT

Head to head

  • 16.01.2026Tambov — Olympia4:1
  • 04.11.2025Olympia — Tambov2:3 SO
  • 16.02.2025Tambov — Olympia3:1
  • 04.10.2024Olympia — Tambov4:1

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
11, PlayoffsPerm1280430–23+716
12, PlayoffsTambov1372434–34016
13, PlayoffsGornyak1071229–18+1115
23Dyn. Altay1252525–30-512
24Olympia1451837–42-511
25Zvezda Moscow1451833–45-1211

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • HC NorilskKhimikpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.9
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.2
  • PermHC Yugrapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:23.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →