Swiss National League (hockey) · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Rapperswil-Jona — Ambri-Piotta
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Rapperswil-Jona are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.
Why
- Rapperswil-Jona are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rapperswil-Jona — Ambri-Piotta | 3.0–2.5 | |
| Rapperswil-Jona to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Ambri-Piotta to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 51% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Rapperswil-Jona
- Rapperswil-Jona goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Lausanne1:4
- 09.10away · Langnau Tigers0:3
- 03.10Bern4:3 OT
- 02.10away · Lugano2:5
- 29.09Zug2:5
- 10.10Bern1:2 OT
- 03.10away · Fribourg2:1
- 01.10Langnau Tigers1:5
- 29.09Davos0:3
- 26.09away · Lugano5:3
Head to head
- 18.09.2026Ambri-Piotta — Rapperswil-Jona6:3
- 09.03.2026Rapperswil-Jona — Ambri-Piotta6:2
- 10.01.2026Ambri-Piotta — Rapperswil-Jona4:3 OT
- 22.11.2025Ambri-Piotta — Rapperswil-Jona1:5
- 04.10.2025Rapperswil-Jona — Ambri-Piotta4:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lausanne | 11 | 4 | -4 | 15 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Ambri-Piotta | 10 | 4 | -6 | 15 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Bern | 9 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 | Davos | 11 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 | Rapperswil-Jona | 11 | 2 | -14 | 11 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | Biel | 10 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
National League on the same day
- AjoieServettepreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
- DavosBernpreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
- FribourgBielpreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.2
- LuganoEHC Klotenpreliminary70301The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.9
- ZugLausannepreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
- ZurichLangnau Tigerspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →