Swiss National League (hockey) · Tuesday, 27 October, 21:45 MSK

Rapperswil-Jona — Servette

Model prediction for 27 October

Rapperswil-Jona40%

Draw in regulation22%

Servette38%

Model estimate at 17:28 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Rapperswil-Jona 50%, Servette 50% including overtime.

5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.

Why

The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.6.

Facts

League table: Rapperswil-Jona — No. 12, 11 pts; Servette — No. 2, 21 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
Servette: 3 wins in a row.
Last 5 meetings: Rapperswil-Jona 2 wins, Servette 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Rapperswil-Jona — Servette		2.6–2.6
Rapperswil-Jona to win (incl. OT and shootout)		50%
Servette to win (incl. OT and shootout)		50%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		48%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		52%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Rapperswil-Jona
Rapperswil-Jona goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Rapperswil-Jona

10.10Lausanne1:4
09.10away · Langnau Tigers0:3
03.10Bern4:3 OT
02.10away · Lugano2:5
29.09Zug2:5

Servette

10.10Davos3:2
04.10Zug2:1
02.10away · Bern3:2 SO
30.09away · Lausanne5:6 SO
29.09EHC Kloten4:0

Head to head

22.09.2026Servette — Rapperswil-Jona4:2
24.02.2026Rapperswil-Jona — Servette4:1
06.01.2026Servette — Rapperswil-Jona3:1
21.11.2025Rapperswil-Jona — Servette2:5
26.09.2025Servette — Rapperswil-Jona3:4

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTW	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Zurich	10	7	3	0	0	42–24	+18	27
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Servette	11	5	2	2	2	33–29	+4	21
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Langnau Tigers	11	5	1	2	3	41–34	+7	19
11	Davos	11	4	0	1	6	27–31	-4	13
12	Rapperswil-Jona	11	2	2	1	6	28–42	-14	11
13, Relegation play-off	Biel	10	3	0	1	6	31–35	-4	10

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

21:45
Ambri-PiottaBielpreliminary
5347
1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
21:45
BernZurichpreliminary
4753
2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
21:45
EHC KlotenAjoiepreliminary
6436
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
21:45
FribourgDavospreliminary
5743
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
21:45
LausanneLangnau Tigerspreliminary
6139
1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.3
21:45
ZugLuganopreliminary
5545
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →