AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Rochester Americans — Lehigh Valley Phantoms
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Rochester Americans are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.
Why
- Rochester Americans are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.6.
Facts
- League table: Rochester Americans — No. 14, 5 pts; Lehigh Valley Phantoms — No. 31, 1 pt. A gap of 4 pts.
- Lehigh Valley Phantoms: 4 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Rochester Americans 2 wins, Lehigh Valley Phantoms 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rochester Americans — Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 3.2–2.6 | |
| Rochester Americans to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Lehigh Valley Phantoms to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 57% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 43% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Rochester Americans
- Rochester Americans goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 11.10away · Utica Comets1:2
- 10.10Syracuse Crunch7:1
- 04.10away · Belleville Senators2:3 SO
- 03.10Toronto Marlies3:1
- 26.04away · Toronto Marlies2:4
- 11.10Cleveland Monsters2:5
- 11.10Cleveland Monsters4:5 OT
- 04.10Hartford Wolf Pack2:5
- 19.04away · Charlotte Checkers1:4
- 18.04away · Charlotte Checkers2:0
Head to head
- 14.12.2025Rochester Americans — Lehigh Valley Phantoms1:2 SO
- 20.11.2025Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Rochester Americans4:2
- 19.01.2025Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Rochester Americans2:3
- 18.01.2025Rochester Americans — Lehigh Valley Phantoms2:3 SO
- 18.01.2024Rochester Americans — Lehigh Valley Phantoms6:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton | 4 | 2 | +8 | 5 | .625 |
| 14 | Rochester Americans | 4 | 2 | +6 | 5 | .625 |
| 15 | San Diego Gulls | 4 | 2 | +2 | 5 | .625 |
| 30 | Providence Bruins | 5 | 1 | -5 | 2 | .200 |
| 31 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 3 | 0 | -7 | 1 | .167 |
| 32 | Chicago Wolves | 4 | 0 | -17 | 0 | .000 |
AHL on the same day
- Belleville SenatorsHartford Wolf Packpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:26.0
- Cleveland MonstersMilwaukee Admiralspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- Syracuse CrunchHamilton Hammerspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.9
- Toronto MarliesHershey Bearspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.4
- Utica CometsWilkes-Barre/Scrantonpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Springfield ThunderbirdsProvidence Bruinspreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
- Iowa WildCharlotte Checkerspreliminary31692The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.4
- Rockford IceHogsManitoba Moosepreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →