VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Thursday, 15 October, MSK
Rubin Tyumen — Dizel
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Rubin Tyumen are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.0 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 25%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.1 and 1.9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rubin Tyumen — Dizel | 2.1–1.9 | |
| Rubin Tyumen to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Dizel to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 25% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 75% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Rubin Tyumen
- Rubin Tyumen goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10Tambov3:2 OT
- 11.10Buran Voronezh4:3 SO
- 03.10away · Omskie Krylia3:4
- 01.10away · Kurgan3:2 SO
- 27.09HC Yugra4:3
- 13.10away · Kurgan3:4
- 11.10away · Omskie Krylia2:3
- 05.10Dyn. Altay3:1
- 03.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:2
- 01.10Krasnoyarsk2:0
Head to head
- 11.12.2025Rubin Tyumen — Dizel4:2
- 29.11.2025Dizel — Rubin Tyumen6:3
- 20.01.2025Dizel — Rubin Tyumen3:1
- 03.11.2024Rubin Tyumen — Dizel4:1
- 09.01.2024Rubin Tyumen — Dizel2:3 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Ryazan | 15 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 19 | Rubin Tyumen | 12 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
| 20 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 13 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 21 | HC Yugra | 12 | 6 | +2 | 12 |
| 22 | Dizel | 13 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 23 | Dyn. Altay | 12 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
VHL on the same day
- 50501The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.7
- 44562The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.3
- 77231The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:14.6
- 64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
- 78221The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:14.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →