VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Thursday, 15 October, MSK
Kurgan — Kristall Saratov
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Kurgan are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.
Why
- Kurgan are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.1.
Facts
- League table: Kurgan — No. 26, 10 pts; Kristall Saratov — No. 15, 15 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Kurgan 2 wins, Kristall Saratov 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kurgan — Kristall Saratov | 2.8–2.1 | |
| Kurgan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 64% | |
| Kristall Saratov to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 36% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 41% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Kurgan
- Kurgan goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · Omskie Krylia1:7
- 07.10Dyn. Altay5:4 SO
- 05.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:2
- 03.10Krasnoyarsk3:2
- 01.10HC Norilsk2:3 SO
Head to head
- 11.12.2025Kurgan — Kristall Saratov1:4
- 29.11.2025Kristall Saratov — Kurgan2:1 OT
- 22.01.2025Kristall Saratov — Kurgan3:4 SO
- 28.10.2024Kurgan — Kristall Saratov0:3
- 06.12.2023Kurgan — Kristall Saratov6:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14, Playoffs | Gornyak | 10 | 7 | +11 | 15 |
| 15, Playoffs | Kristall Saratov | 12 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 16, Playoffs | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 11 | 5 | +4 | 14 |
| 25 | Zvezda Moscow | 14 | 5 | -12 | 11 |
| 26 | Kurgan | 12 | 3 | -14 | 10 |
| 27 | CSK VVS | 16 | 4 | -25 | 9 |
VHL on the same day
- 50501The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.7
- 44562The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.3
- 77231The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:14.6
- 78221The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:14.3
- 54461The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →