VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Rubin Tyumen — Kristall Saratov
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Rubin Tyumen are clear favourites: 70% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.
Why
- Rubin Tyumen are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 1.9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rubin Tyumen — Kristall Saratov | 2.9–1.9 | |
| Rubin Tyumen to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 70% | |
| Kristall Saratov to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 30% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 40% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Rubin Tyumen
- Rubin Tyumen goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10Tambov3:2 OT
- 11.10Buran Voronezh4:3 SO
- 03.10away · Omskie Krylia3:4
- 01.10away · Kurgan3:2 SO
- 27.09HC Yugra4:3
- 13.10away · Omskie Krylia1:7
- 07.10Dyn. Altay5:4 SO
- 05.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:2
- 03.10Krasnoyarsk3:2
- 01.10HC Norilsk2:3 SO
Head to head
- 09.12.2025Rubin Tyumen — Kristall Saratov3:4
- 27.11.2025Kristall Saratov — Rubin Tyumen0:2
- 18.01.2025Kristall Saratov — Rubin Tyumen0:2
- 01.11.2024Rubin Tyumen — Kristall Saratov2:0
- 13.01.2024Kristall Saratov — Rubin Tyumen2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14, Playoffs | Bars | 14 | 7 | -9 | 15 |
| 15, Playoffs | Kristall Saratov | 12 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 16, Playoffs | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 11 | 5 | +4 | 14 |
| 18 | Ryazan | 15 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 19 | Rubin Tyumen | 12 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
| 20 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 13 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
VHL on the same day
- 71291The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.5
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
- 71291The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:13.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →