AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Tech CU Arena
San Jose Barracuda — Tucson Roadrunners
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 1:4: the model's most likely outcome, San Jose Barracuda to win (55% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 55% fails in about 45 matches out of 100 on average.
San Jose Barracuda are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 6.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 64%.
Why
- San Jose Barracuda are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 3.0.
- San Jose Barracuda: second game in two days — the model lowers their attack and defence.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: San Jose Barracuda 1 win, Tucson Roadrunners 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: San Jose Barracuda — Tucson Roadrunners | 3.3–3.0 | |
| San Jose Barracuda to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Tucson Roadrunners to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 64% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 36% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap San Jose Barracuda
- San Jose Barracuda goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 10.10Tucson Roadrunners4:7
- 05.10San Diego Gulls5:4 OT
- 04.10San Diego Gulls1:5
- 25.04away · Henderson Silver Knights1:5
- 23.04away · Henderson Silver Knights4:5 OT
- 10.10away · San Jose Barracuda7:4
- 05.10Colorado Eagles3:5
- 04.10Colorado Eagles0:2
- 19.04Henderson Silver Knights5:4
- 18.04Henderson Silver Knights2:1 SO
Head to head
- 10.10.2026San Jose Barracuda — Tucson Roadrunners4:7
- 16.03.2026Tucson Roadrunners — San Jose Barracuda5:4
- 15.03.2026Tucson Roadrunners — San Jose Barracuda6:4
- 02.03.2026San Jose Barracuda — Tucson Roadrunners4:6
- 01.03.2026San Jose Barracuda — Tucson Roadrunners5:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 5 | 3 | -3 | 6 | .600 |
| 19 | Tucson Roadrunners | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | .500 |
| 20 | Bakersfield Condors | 4 | 2 | +1 | 4 | .500 |
| 27 | Henderson Silver Knights | 3 | 1 | -3 | 2 | .333 |
| 28 | San Jose Barracuda | 4 | 1 | -9 | 2 | .250 |
| 29 | Syracuse Crunch | 4 | 1 | -10 | 2 | .250 |
Next matches
- San Jose BarracudaCalgary Wranglers14 October · AHL60401The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:26.4
- Tucson RoadrunnersSan Diego Gulls17 October · AHL54461The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
AHL on the same day
- 39612The most likely outcome came true: 221%1:7Final score 1:7. Model's score: 2:4.5.5
- 50501The most likely outcome came true: 122%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 3:2.5.5
- 40602The most likely outcome came true: 221%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 2:4.5.6
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 121%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 4:2.5.7
- 52481The most likely outcome came true: 122%4:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 3:2.5.4
- 42582The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%4:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 2:3.5.1
- 65351The most likely outcome did not happen: 120%2:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 4:2.5.6
- 47532The most likely outcome came true: 221%4:5OTFinal score 4:5 in overtime. Model's score: 2:4.5.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →