NHL · Wednesday, 7 October, MSK · Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken — Vegas Golden Knights
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:6Came true
In short
Final score 2:6: the model's most likely outcome, Vegas Golden Knights to win (58% incl. overtime), came true.
Vegas Golden Knights are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.
Why
- Vegas Golden Knights are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Seattle Kraken — Vegas Golden Knights | 2.4–2.8 | |
| Seattle Kraken to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Vegas Golden Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 50% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Seattle Kraken
- Seattle Kraken goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 05.10Calgary Flames6:1
- 04.10away · Edmonton Oilers1:3
- 02.10away · Calgary Flames6:1
- 17.04away · Colorado Avalanche0:2
- 16.04away · Vegas Golden Knights1:4
- 05.10away · Vancouver Canucks3:2
- 03.10Anaheim Ducks3:4
- 30.09Chicago Blackhawks5:2
- 15.06Carolina Hurricanes0:3
- 12.06away · Carolina Hurricanes2:4
Head to head
- 16.04.2026Vegas Golden Knights — Seattle Kraken4:1
- 10.04.2026Seattle Kraken — Vegas Golden Knights4:3 SO
- 01.02.2026Vegas Golden Knights — Seattle Kraken2:3
- 12.10.2025Seattle Kraken — Vegas Golden Knights2:1 OT
- 11.04.2025Vegas Golden Knights — Seattle Kraken2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 8 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 6 | 5 | +11 | 11 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
Next matches
- Vegas Golden KnightsToronto Maple Leafs9 October · NHL65351The most likely outcome came true: 121%4:3SOFinal score 4:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- Detroit Red WingsSeattle Kraken10 October · NHL55451The most likely outcome did not happen: 124%3:6Final score 3:6. Model's score: 4:1.5.2
NHL on the same day
- 51491The most likely outcome came true: 123%3:2OTFinal score 3:2 in overtime. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:3Final score 5:3. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
- 43572The most likely outcome came true: 223%4:6Final score 4:6. Model's score: 1:4.5.5
- 45552The most likely outcome came true: 224%3:5Final score 3:5. Model's score: 1:4.5.3
- 53471The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:4OTFinal score 5:4 in overtime. Model's score: 5:2.5.6
- 57431The most likely outcome came true: 124%5:2Final score 5:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.3
- 41592The most likely outcome did not happen: 224%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 1:4.5.2
- 52481The most likely outcome did not happen: 124%1:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →