NHL · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings — Seattle Kraken

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Model prediction and result

3:6Missed
Detroit Red Wings42%
Draw in regulation24%
Seattle Kraken34%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 3:6: the model's most likely outcome, Detroit Red Wings to win (55% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 55% fails in about 45 matches out of 100 on average.

Detroit Red Wings are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

  • Detroit Red Wings are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Detroit Red Wings — Seattle Kraken2.7–2.5
Detroit Red Wings to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Seattle Kraken to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)51%

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Form

Detroit Red Wings

  • 07.10Ottawa Senators5:3
  • 04.10Winnipeg Jets2:3
  • 03.10New York Rangers0:2
  • 16.04away · Florida Panthers1:8
  • 14.04away · Tampa Bay Lightning3:4 OT

Seattle Kraken

  • 07.10Vegas Golden Knights2:6
  • 05.10Calgary Flames6:1
  • 04.10away · Edmonton Oilers1:3
  • 02.10away · Calgary Flames6:1
  • 17.04away · Colorado Avalanche0:2

Head to head

  • 07.12.2025Seattle Kraken — Detroit Red Wings3:4
  • 19.11.2025Detroit Red Wings — Seattle Kraken4:2
  • 05.02.2025Seattle Kraken — Detroit Red Wings4:5 SO
  • 12.01.2025Detroit Red Wings — Seattle Kraken6:2
  • 19.02.2024Seattle Kraken — Detroit Red Wings3:4 OT

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
3, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionVegas Golden Knights860230–20+1012
4, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSeattle Kraken750229–19+1010
5, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionUtah Mammoth750227–19+810
26Columbus Blue Jackets520316–21-54
27Detroit Red Wings612314–20-64
28Vancouver Canucks820626–38-124

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →