SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Skellefteå Kraft Arena
Skelleftea — Rogle
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:2Came true
In short
Final score 3:2: the model's most likely outcome, Skelleftea to win (62% incl. overtime), came true.
Skelleftea are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.8 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.
Why
- Skelleftea are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Skelleftea — Rogle | 2.7–2.1 | |
| Skelleftea to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 62% | |
| Rogle to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 38% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 40% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Skelleftea
- Skelleftea goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
Head to head
- 02.05.2026Skelleftea — Rogle7:3
- 30.04.2026Rogle — Skelleftea2:3
- 28.04.2026Rogle — Skelleftea2:1 OT
- 25.04.2026Skelleftea — Rogle5:1
- 23.04.2026Skelleftea — Rogle4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | IF Bjorkloven | 8 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Skelleftea | 8 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Brynas | 8 | 4 | +5 | 12 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Rogle | 8 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Orebro | 8 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
Next matches
- VaxjoSkelleftea15 October · SHL41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.1
- IF BjorklovenRogle15 October · SHL44562The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
SHL on the same day
- 70301The most likely outcome came true: 120%6:2Final score 6:2. Model's score: 3:1.5.2
- 43572The most likely outcome did not happen: 221%3:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 2:3.5.5
- 56441The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%2:3OTFinal score 2:3 in overtime. Model's score: 3:1.4.7
- 52481The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 3:1.4.7
- 41592The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%3:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 1:3.4.8
- 48522The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 2:3.5.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →