Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Monday, 5 October, MSK
Soligorsk — Baranavichy
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4:5Missed
In short
Final score 4:5: the model's most likely outcome, Soligorsk to win (88% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 88% fails in about 12 matches out of 100 on average.
Soligorsk are clear favourites: 88% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 59%.
Why
- Soligorsk are more dangerous in attack: 4.2 expected goals against 1.7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Soligorsk — Baranavichy | 4.2–1.7 | |
| Soligorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 88% | |
| Baranavichy to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 12% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 59% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Soligorsk
- Soligorsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.10Baranavichy4:2
- 30.09away · Slavutych1:5
- 28.09away · Slavutych3:4 SO
- 23.09Mogilev4:1
- 21.09Mogilev3:0
- 03.10away · Soligorsk2:4
- 30.09Yunost Minsk5:0
- 28.09Yunost Minsk5:2
- 23.09Zhlobin2:1
- 21.09Zhlobin2:3 SO
Head to head
- 03.10.2026Soligorsk — Baranavichy4:2
- 01.03.2026Soligorsk — Baranavichy4:0
- 27.02.2026Soligorsk — Baranavichy3:2 SO
- 18.11.2025Baranavichy — Soligorsk0:2
- 16.11.2025Baranavichy — Soligorsk0:2
Next matches
- BaranavichyVitebsk9 October · Belarus Extraleague36642The most likely outcome did not happen: 221%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 2:4.5.2
- Yunost MinskSoligorsk10 October · Belarus Extraleague35652The most likely outcome came true: 222%4:6Final score 4:6. Model's score: 1:3.4.8
Belarus Extraleague on the same day
- 81191The most likely outcome came true: 116%5:2Final score 5:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
- 72281The most likely outcome came true: 119%4:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 4:2.5.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 78% will not happen in roughly 22 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →