Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Saturday, 10 October, MSK

Yunost Minsk — Soligorsk

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Model prediction and result

4:6Came true
Yunost Minsk27%
Draw in regulation22%
Soligorsk51%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 4:6: the model's most likely outcome, Soligorsk to win (65% incl. overtime), came true.

Soligorsk are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.8 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 39%.

Why

  • Soligorsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Yunost Minsk — Soligorsk2.0–2.7
Yunost Minsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)35%
Soligorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)65%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)39%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)61%

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Yunost Minsk
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Form

Yunost Minsk

  • 04.10Zhlobin1:4
  • 03.10Zhlobin1:4
  • 30.09away · Baranavichy0:5
  • 28.09away · Baranavichy2:5
  • 23.09Slavutych1:4

Soligorsk

  • 05.10Baranavichy4:5
  • 03.10Baranavichy4:2
  • 30.09away · Slavutych1:5
  • 28.09away · Slavutych3:4 SO
  • 23.09Mogilev4:1

Head to head

  • 17.02.2026Soligorsk — Yunost Minsk5:4
  • 15.02.2026Soligorsk — Yunost Minsk3:1
  • 20.10.2025Yunost Minsk — Soligorsk3:2 OT
  • 18.10.2025Yunost Minsk — Soligorsk3:2
  • 24.01.2025Soligorsk — Yunost Minsk1:3

Next match

  • Yunost MinskSoligorsk12 October · Belarus Extraleague
    2The most likely outcome came true: 220%Final score 1:7. Model's score: 2:4.5.4

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 119%Final score 3:0. Model's score: 4:2.5.9
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 222%Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:3.5.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →