NHL · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
St. Louis Blues — Montreal Canadiens
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: St. Louis Blues 51%, Montreal Canadiens 49% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: St. Louis Blues — Montreal Canadiens | 2.7–2.6 | |
| St. Louis Blues to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Montreal Canadiens to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 51% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap St. Louis Blues
- St. Louis Blues goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 14.10away · Ottawa Senators7:2
- 11.10Columbus Blue Jackets5:3
- 09.10San Jose Sharks2:3 OT
- 07.10away · Chicago Blackhawks2:4
- 04.10away · Colorado Avalanche1:6
- 14.10Buffalo Sabres4:3 SO
- 11.10Detroit Red Wings1:0 SO
- 09.10Nashville Predators2:5
- 07.10Carolina Hurricanes4:6
- 04.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins5:6 OT
Head to head
- 04.01.2026St. Louis Blues — Montreal Canadiens2:0
- 08.12.2025Montreal Canadiens — St. Louis Blues3:4
- 26.03.2025St. Louis Blues — Montreal Canadiens6:1
- 27.10.2024Montreal Canadiens — St. Louis Blues5:2
- 11.02.2024Montreal Canadiens — St. Louis Blues2:7
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Pittsburgh Penguins | 7 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 | St. Louis Blues | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 17, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 7 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 18 | Montreal Canadiens | 6 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Buffalo Sabres | 7 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
NHL on the same day
- Philadelphia FlyersColumbus Blue Jacketspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.2
- Carolina HurricanesBoston Bruinspreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:15.6
- Chicago BlackhawksLos Angeles Kingspreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.3
- Dallas StarsNew Jersey Devilspreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.2
- Nashville PredatorsNew York Islanderspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.3
- Winnipeg JetsFlorida Pantherspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.3
- Utah MammothMinnesota Wildpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
- Anaheim DucksVancouver Canuckspreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →