Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Tappara — Assat
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Tappara are clear favourites: 67% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.
Why
- Tappara are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Tappara — Assat | 3.0–2.1 | |
| Tappara to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 67% | |
| Assat to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 33% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 46% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Tappara
- Tappara goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 09.10Hameenlinna2:3 SO
- 07.10away · Jukurit1:0
- 03.10away · Lukko5:2
- 02.10Lukko0:3
- 26.09away · Hameenlinna4:5 OT
Head to head
- 10.01.2026Assat — Tappara1:5
- 09.01.2026Tappara — Assat6:2
- 11.10.2025Tappara — Assat2:1
- 10.10.2025Assat — Tappara3:2
- 22.02.2025Tappara — Assat3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Jukurit | 14 | 6 | +7 | 24 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Assat | 12 | 6 | +3 | 22 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Karpat | 13 | 5 | +1 | 22 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lukko | 11 | 6 | +6 | 20 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Tappara | 11 | 5 | +8 | 19 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | -7 | 18 |
Liiga on the same day
- Kiekko-EspooKooKoopreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →