AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Toronto Marlies — Hershey Bears
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Toronto Marlies 53%, Hershey Bears 47% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.6.
Facts
- League table: Toronto Marlies — No. 7, 6 pts; Hershey Bears — No. 8, 6 pts.
- Toronto Marlies: 3 wins in a row; Hershey Bears: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Toronto Marlies 3 wins, Hershey Bears 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Toronto Marlies — Hershey Bears | 2.8–2.6 | |
| Toronto Marlies to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Hershey Bears to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 51% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 49% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Toronto Marlies
- Toronto Marlies goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10away · Hamilton Hammers5:2
- 10.10away · Hamilton Hammers5:4 SO
- 03.10Hamilton Hammers5:3
- 03.10away · Rochester Americans1:3
- 20.06Chicago Wolves4:3
- 12.10Texas Stars6:1
- 11.10Texas Stars2:1
- 04.10Charlotte Checkers3:2
- 04.10Charlotte Checkers2:5
- 08.05Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1:4
Head to head
- 18.02.2026Toronto Marlies — Hershey Bears2:3
- 08.11.2025Hershey Bears — Toronto Marlies2:5
- 22.12.2024Hershey Bears — Toronto Marlies3:7
- 21.11.2024Toronto Marlies — Hershey Bears4:3 OT
- 18.02.2024Toronto Marlies — Hershey Bears2:3 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Colorado Eagles | 4 | 3 | +4 | 6 | .750 |
| 7 | Toronto Marlies | 4 | 3 | +4 | 6 | .750 |
| 8 | Hershey Bears | 4 | 3 | +4 | 6 | .750 |
| 9 | Cleveland Monsters | 4 | 3 | +2 | 6 | .750 |
AHL on the same day
- Belleville SenatorsHartford Wolf Packpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:26.0
- Cleveland MonstersMilwaukee Admiralspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- Syracuse CrunchHamilton Hammerspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.9
- Utica CometsWilkes-Barre/Scrantonpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- Rochester AmericansLehigh Valley Phantomspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.8
- Springfield ThunderbirdsProvidence Bruinspreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
- Iowa WildCharlotte Checkerspreliminary31692The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.4
- Rockford IceHogsManitoba Moosepreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →