VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Toros Neftekamsk — HC Yugra
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
HC Yugra are clear favourites: 71% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 3.8 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 22%.
Why
- HC Yugra are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 1.5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Toros Neftekamsk — HC Yugra | 1.5–2.4 | |
| Toros Neftekamsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 29% | |
| HC Yugra to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 71% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 22% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 78% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Toros Neftekamsk
- Toros Neftekamsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · Krasnoyarsk0:2
- 10.10away · HC Norilsk3:5
- 05.10Kaluga0:1
- 03.10AKM0:3
- 01.10Ryazan3:0
- 13.10Buran Voronezh0:1
- 01.10away · Omskie Krylia0:1
- 29.09away · Kurgan3:0
- 27.09away · Rubin Tyumen3:4
- 21.09away · Dyn. Altay0:2
Head to head
- 24.12.2025Toros Neftekamsk — HC Yugra0:3
- 17.11.2025HC Yugra — Toros Neftekamsk4:0
- 04.03.2025Toros Neftekamsk — HC Yugra0:2
- 18.09.2024HC Yugra — Toros Neftekamsk2:3 OT
- 17.12.2023Toros Neftekamsk — HC Yugra2:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16, Playoffs | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 11 | 5 | +4 | 14 |
| 17 | Toros Neftekamsk | 13 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 | Ryazan | 15 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 20 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 13 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 21 | HC Yugra | 12 | 6 | +2 | 12 |
| 22 | Dizel | 13 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
VHL on the same day
- PermRubin Tyumenpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.1
- Buran VoronezhOlympiapreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.4
- SKA-VMF St. PetersburgKalugapreliminary50502The model's most likely outcome: 226%Model's score: 1:23.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →