VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Buran Voronezh — Olympia

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Model prediction for 28 October

Buran Voronezh51%
Draw in regulation22%
Olympia27%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Buran Voronezh are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 32%.

Why

  • Buran Voronezh are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 1.9.

Facts

  • League table: Buran Voronezh — No. 2, 22 pts; Olympia — No. 24, 11 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
  • Last 4 meetings: Buran Voronezh 4 wins, Olympia 0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Buran Voronezh — Olympia2.5–1.9
Buran Voronezh to win (incl. OT and shootout)64%
Olympia to win (incl. OT and shootout)36%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)32%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)68%

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Form

Buran Voronezh

  • 13.10away · HC Yugra1:0
  • 11.10away · Rubin Tyumen3:4 SO
  • 09.10away · Kurgan3:2 SO
  • 07.10away · Omskie Krylia1:0
  • 01.10Dyn. Altay4:2

Olympia

  • 13.10away · Dyn. Altay4:1
  • 11.10away · Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:2
  • 09.10away · Krasnoyarsk4:3
  • 06.10away · HC Norilsk2:3
  • 01.10Kaluga2:3 OT

Head to head

  • 12.01.2026Buran Voronezh — Olympia2:1
  • 08.11.2025Olympia — Buran Voronezh3:4 SO
  • 18.02.2025Buran Voronezh — Olympia5:1
  • 30.09.2024Olympia — Buran Voronezh2:3 SO

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, PlayoffsAlmetyevsk15110444–30+1422
2, PlayoffsBuran Voronezh14102231–22+922
3, PlayoffsOmskie Krylia13100337–19+1820
23Dyn. Altay1252525–30-512
24Olympia1451837–42-511
25Zvezda Moscow1451833–45-1211

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →