AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Tucson Roadrunners — San Diego Gulls
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Tucson Roadrunners are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.0 and 2.8.
Facts
- League table: Tucson Roadrunners — No. 19, 4 pts; San Diego Gulls — No. 15, 5 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Tucson Roadrunners 3 wins, San Diego Gulls 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Tucson Roadrunners — San Diego Gulls | 3.0–2.8 | |
| Tucson Roadrunners to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| San Diego Gulls to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 57% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Tucson Roadrunners
- Tucson Roadrunners goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · San Jose Barracuda4:1
- 10.10away · San Jose Barracuda7:4
- 05.10Colorado Eagles3:5
- 04.10Colorado Eagles0:2
- 19.04Henderson Silver Knights5:4
- 11.10Henderson Silver Knights2:0
- 10.10away · Coachella Valley Firebirds3:6
- 05.10away · San Jose Barracuda4:5 OT
- 04.10away · San Jose Barracuda5:1
- 25.04away · Colorado Eagles1:6
Head to head
- 16.04.2026San Diego Gulls — Tucson Roadrunners1:5
- 02.04.2026San Diego Gulls — Tucson Roadrunners3:0
- 26.02.2026San Diego Gulls — Tucson Roadrunners1:2 OT
- 29.01.2026San Diego Gulls — Tucson Roadrunners3:4 SO
- 22.01.2026Tucson Roadrunners — San Diego Gulls3:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rochester Americans | 4 | 2 | +6 | 5 | .625 |
| 15 | San Diego Gulls | 4 | 2 | +2 | 5 | .625 |
| 16 | Iowa Wild | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .625 |
| 18 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 5 | 3 | -3 | 6 | .600 |
| 19 | Tucson Roadrunners | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | .500 |
| 20 | Bakersfield Condors | 4 | 2 | +1 | 4 | .500 |
AHL on the same day
- 40602The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.9
- 69311The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.5
- 42582The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.7
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:46.3
- 50502The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.7
- 48522The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.5
- 38622The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
- 51491The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →