NHL · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Vegas Golden Knights — Ottawa Senators
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Vegas Golden Knights are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.
Why
- Vegas Golden Knights are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vegas Golden Knights — Ottawa Senators | 2.8–2.5 | |
| Vegas Golden Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 55% | |
| Ottawa Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 45% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 51% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Vegas Golden Knights
- Vegas Golden Knights goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10away · Nashville Predators5:2
- 13.10away · Minnesota Wild2:4
- 11.10Los Angeles Kings2:1 OT
- 09.10Toronto Maple Leafs4:3 SO
- 07.10away · Seattle Kraken6:2
- 14.10St. Louis Blues2:7
- 13.10away · New Jersey Devils4:1
- 11.10Nashville Predators3:2 SO
- 09.10Philadelphia Flyers2:1
- 07.10away · Detroit Red Wings3:5
Head to head
- 26.01.2026Ottawa Senators — Vegas Golden Knights7:1
- 27.11.2025Vegas Golden Knights — Ottawa Senators3:4 SO
- 22.11.2024Ottawa Senators — Vegas Golden Knights2:3
- 26.10.2024Vegas Golden Knights — Ottawa Senators6:4
- 25.02.2024Ottawa Senators — Vegas Golden Knights4:3 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 8 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 6 | 5 | +11 | 11 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 7 | 5 | +8 | 10 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Ottawa Senators | 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 7 | 4 | +5 | 9 |
NHL on the same day
- Philadelphia FlyersColumbus Blue Jacketspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.2
- Carolina HurricanesBoston Bruinspreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:15.6
- Chicago BlackhawksLos Angeles Kingspreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.3
- Dallas StarsNew Jersey Devilspreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.2
- Nashville PredatorsNew York Islanderspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.3
- St. Louis BluesMontreal Canadienspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.4
- Winnipeg JetsFlorida Pantherspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.3
- Utah MammothMinnesota Wildpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →