Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Vitkovice — Ceske Budejovice
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: Vitkovice 47%, Ceske Budejovice 53% including overtime.
5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vitkovice — Ceske Budejovice | 2.6–2.7 | |
| Vitkovice to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Ceske Budejovice to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Vitkovice
- Vitkovice goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Sparta Prague0:3
- 09.10Pardubice2:3
- 04.10away · Mountfield HK2:3 OT
- 02.10Karlovy Vary0:3
- 29.09away · Olomouc4:3
- 11.10Liberec4:3
- 08.10away · Plzen1:4
- 05.10Kometa Brno5:1
- 01.10away · Sparta Prague2:4
- 29.09away · Pardubice2:5
Head to head
- 27.02.2026Vitkovice — Ceske Budejovice5:4 OT
- 30.12.2025Ceske Budejovice — Vitkovice2:3 SO
- 12.11.2025Vitkovice — Ceske Budejovice4:2
- 30.09.2025Ceske Budejovice — Vitkovice2:1
- 21.02.2025Vitkovice — Ceske Budejovice1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Mountfield HK | 10 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 6, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Ceske Budejovice | 10 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kladno | 10 | 3 | -3 | 15 |
| 12, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Mlada Boleslav | 10 | 2 | -13 | 9 |
| 13 | Vitkovice | 9 | 2 | -11 | 7 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Olomouc | 10 | 1 | -18 | 5 |
Czech Extraliga on the same day
- 74261The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.8
- 50502The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.3
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- 41592The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →