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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Vitkovice — Trinec

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Model prediction for 1 November

Vitkovice29%
Draw in regulation21%
Trinec50%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Trinec are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

  • Trinec are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Vitkovice — Trinec2.3–3.0
Vitkovice to win (incl. OT and shootout)37%
Trinec to win (incl. OT and shootout)63%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Vitkovice
  • Vitkovice goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Vitkovice

  • 11.10away · Sparta Prague0:3
  • 09.10Pardubice2:3
  • 04.10away · Mountfield HK2:3 OT
  • 02.10Karlovy Vary0:3
  • 29.09away · Olomouc4:3

Trinec

  • 11.10away · Pardubice4:5 OT
  • 09.10Mountfield HK5:2
  • 04.10away · Olomouc9:0
  • 02.10Litvinov3:2
  • 29.09Kladno6:4

Head to head

  • 25.09.2026Trinec — Vitkovice8:2
  • 01.03.2026Trinec — Vitkovice3:2 OT
  • 02.01.2026Vitkovice — Trinec0:2
  • 20.11.2025Vitkovice — Trinec3:2
  • 03.10.2025Trinec — Vitkovice4:5 SO

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsTrinec10901049–23+2628
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPardubice11810247–31+1626
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMlada Boleslav10211623–36-139
13Vitkovice9201621–32-117
14, Relegation play-offOlomouc10110818–36-185

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • PardubiceMlada Boleslavpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 3:15.0
  • LiberecMountfield HKpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • Sparta PragueLitvinovpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 4:15.1
  • PlzenKladnopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.4
  • Ceske BudejoviceKarlovy Varypreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.7
  • Kometa BrnoOlomoucpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:15.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →