NHL · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Winnipeg Jets — Florida Panthers

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Model prediction for 28 October

Winnipeg Jets38%
Draw in regulation24%
Florida Panthers38%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Winnipeg Jets 49%, Florida Panthers 51% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.7.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Winnipeg Jets — Florida Panthers2.7–2.7
Winnipeg Jets to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Florida Panthers to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

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Form

Winnipeg Jets

  • 14.10Minnesota Wild5:2
  • 10.10Anaheim Ducks1:5
  • 08.10Colorado Avalanche3:2
  • 06.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins3:2
  • 04.10away · Detroit Red Wings3:2

Florida Panthers

  • 14.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets7:3
  • 12.10away · Buffalo Sabres3:5
  • 11.10Minnesota Wild1:4
  • 07.10away · Los Angeles Kings2:1
  • 05.10away · Anaheim Ducks2:3 OT

Head to head

  • 01.02.2026Florida Panthers — Winnipeg Jets1:2
  • 23.01.2026Winnipeg Jets — Florida Panthers1:2 SO
  • 20.11.2024Winnipeg Jets — Florida Panthers6:3
  • 17.11.2024Florida Panthers — Winnipeg Jets5:0
  • 25.11.2023Florida Panthers — Winnipeg Jets0:3

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
8, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionMinnesota Wild741221–16+59
9, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionWinnipeg Jets641118–17+19
10, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceColorado Avalanche640229–19+108
13, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionTampa Bay Lightning640217–16+18
14, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceFlorida Panthers732219–20-18
15, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionPittsburgh Penguins731325–22+37

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →