Swiss National League (hockey) · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Zug — Langnau Tigers

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Model prediction for 30 October

Zug46%
Draw in regulation22%
Langnau Tigers32%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Zug are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.

Why

  • Zug are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.3.

Facts

  • League table: Zug — No. 10, 13 pts; Langnau Tigers — No. 3, 19 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Zug 1 win, Langnau Tigers 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Zug — Langnau Tigers2.8–2.3
Zug to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Langnau Tigers to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)45%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)55%

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Form

Zug

  • 11.10away · EHC Kloten3:1
  • 04.10away · Servette1:2
  • 29.09away · Rapperswil-Jona5:2
  • 25.09away · Langnau Tigers3:5
  • 22.09away · Lugano2:3 OT

Langnau Tigers

  • 10.10away · Ajoie4:5 OT
  • 09.10Rapperswil-Jona3:0
  • 03.10EHC Kloten6:2
  • 01.10away · Ambri-Piotta5:1
  • 29.09Lugano4:3

Head to head

  • 25.09.2026Langnau Tigers — Zug5:3
  • 24.01.2026Zug — Langnau Tigers3:1
  • 05.12.2025Langnau Tigers — Zug3:1
  • 28.10.2025Langnau Tigers — Zug4:2
  • 13.09.2025Zug — Langnau Tigers3:4 OT

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsServette11522233–29+421
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsLangnau Tigers11512341–34+719
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFribourg11422338–29+918
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsBern9313227–26+114
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsZug7401225–15+1013
11Davos11401627–31-413

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

National League on the same day

  • AjoieBernpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
  • BielEHC Klotenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.0
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.3
  • FribourgServettepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.0
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 4:15.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →