Alcaraz C. — Shapovalov D.
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:0Came true
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Alcaraz C. to win (89%), came true.
Alcaraz C. are clear favourites: 89% against 11% for the opponent.
Over 21.5 games — 47%.
Why
- Rating on hard: Alcaraz C. 2023, Shapovalov D. 1669.
Probabilities
| Games over 21.5 | 47% |
| Games under 21.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- Games handicap
- Sets handicap
- First set
- Alcaraz C. games
- Shapovalov D. games
- Score in sets
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Form
- 03.10Tabilo A.2:1
- 01.10Shimabukuro S.2:0
- 28.09Hurkacz H.1:2
- 27.09Mannarino A.2:1
- 25.09Kopriva V.2:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Next match
- Alcaraz C.Munar J.5 October · ATP · Tokyo88121The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.19.5
ATP on the same day
- 58421The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.25.5
- 28722The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
- 59411The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
- 67331The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
- 74261The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
- 37632The most likely outcome came true: 21:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 89% will not happen in roughly 11 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →