Tennis: ATP, Tokyo, hard · Wednesday, 30 September, MSK

Arnaldi M. — Sakamoto R.

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Arnaldi M.65%
Sakamoto R.35%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Arnaldi M. to win (65%), came true.

Arnaldi M. are clear favourites: 65% against 35% for the opponent.

Over 24.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Arnaldi M. 1569, Sakamoto R. 1466.

Probabilities

Games over 24.550%
Games under 24.550%

100 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Arnaldi M. games
  • Sakamoto R. games
  • Score in sets
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Arnaldi M.

No past matches in the data yet.

Sakamoto R.

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Alcaraz C.Arnaldi M.3 October · ATP · Tokyo
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5
  • Hong S. C.Sakamoto R.5 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.25.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →