Tennis: ATP, Tokyo, hard · Wednesday, 30 September, MSK

Vacherot V. — Blockx A.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Vacherot V.50%
Blockx A.50%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Blockx A. to win (50%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 50% fails in about 50 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Vacherot V. 50%, Blockx A. 50%.

Over 25.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Vacherot V. 1661, Blockx A. 1664.

Probabilities

Games over 25.548%
Games under 25.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Vacherot V. games
  • Blockx A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Vacherot V.

  • 26.09Harris L.0:2

Blockx A.

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Vacherot V.Tsitsipas S.2 October · ATP · Tokyo
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • Halys Q.Blockx A.9 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.24.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →