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Tennis: ATP, Beijing, hard · Wednesday, 30 September, MSK

Khachanov K. — Auger-Aliassime F.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Khachanov K.40%
Auger-Aliassime F.60%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Auger-Aliassime F. to win (60%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 60% fails in about 40 matches out of 100 on average.

Auger-Aliassime F. are clear favourites: 60% against 40% for the opponent.

Over 24.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Khachanov K. 1690, Auger-Aliassime F. 1813.

Probabilities

Games over 24.551%
Games under 24.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Khachanov K. games
  • Auger-Aliassime F. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Khachanov K.

No past matches in the data yet.

Auger-Aliassime F.

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Molcan A.Khachanov K.2 October · ATP · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • Ugo Carabelli C.Auger-Aliassime F.10 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5

ATP on the same day

  • Vacherot V.Blockx A.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.25.5
  • Tabilo A.Paul T.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • Struff J-L.Tirante T. A.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • Fils A.van Assche L.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • Cerundolo J. M.Bu Y.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • Arnaldi M.Sakamoto R.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • Zhang Z.Gea A.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • Borges N.Djokovic N.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →