Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Friday, 2 October, MSK

Bartunkova N. — Frech M.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Bartunkova N.61%
Frech M.39%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Bartunkova N. to win (61%), came true.

Bartunkova N. are clear favourites: 61% against 39% for the opponent.

Over 23.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Bartunkova N. 1678, Frech M. 1604.

Probabilities

Games over 23.549%
Games under 23.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Bartunkova N. games
  • Frech M. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Bartunkova N.

No past matches in the data yet.

Frech M.

  • 30.09Jacquemot E.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Bartunkova N.Sabalenka A.4 October · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.18.5
  • Frech M.Uchijima M.10 October · WTA · Wuhan
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.20.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.18.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →