Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Friday, 2 October, MSK

Noskova L. — Ruse G.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Noskova L.74%
Ruse G.26%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Noskova L. to win (74%), came true.

Noskova L. are clear favourites: 74% against 26% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Noskova L. 1811, Ruse G. 1628.

Probabilities

Games over 21.550%
Games under 21.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Noskova L. games
  • Ruse G. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Noskova L.

  • 27.09Svitolina E.2:0
  • 25.09Bucsa C.2:0
  • 22.09Boulter K.2:0

Ruse G.

  • 30.09Tagger L.2:0
  • 26.09Bondar A.1:2
  • 24.09Ku Y.2:1
  • 22.09Lys E.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Noskova L.Golubic V.4 October · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • Ruse G.Putintseva Y.10 October · WTA · Wuhan
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.18.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →