Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Friday, 2 October, MSK

Yastremska D. — Chwalinska M.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Yastremska D.45%
Chwalinska M.55%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Chwalinska M. to win (55%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 55% fails in about 45 matches out of 100 on average.

Chwalinska M. are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

Over 23.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Yastremska D. 1581, Chwalinska M. 1614.

Probabilities

Games over 23.551%
Games under 23.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Yastremska D. games
  • Chwalinska M. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Yastremska D.

  • 30.09McNally C.2:0

Chwalinska M.

  • 26.09Fernandez L.1:2
  • 25.09Mertens E.2:0
  • 23.09Oliynykova O.2:0
  • 21.09Sramkova R.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Kraus S.Yastremska D.4 October · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • Sherif M.Chwalinska M.13 October · WTA · Wuhan
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.19.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.18.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.19.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →