Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Sunday, 4 October, MSK

Bejlek S. — Osaka N.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Bejlek S.28%
Osaka N.72%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Osaka N. to win (72%), came true.

Osaka N. are clear favourites: 72% against 28% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Bejlek S. 1699, Osaka N. 1863.

Probabilities

Games over 21.552%
Games under 21.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Bejlek S. games
  • Osaka N. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Bejlek S.

  • 02.10Inglis M.2:0

Osaka N.

  • 02.10Timofeeva M.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Muchova K.Osaka N.6 October · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Paolini J.Bejlek S.12 October · WTA · Wuhan
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.18.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.18.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →