Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Wednesday, 7 October, MSK

Charaeva A. — Zheng Q.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Charaeva A.43%
Zheng Q.57%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Zheng Q. to win (57%), came true.

Zheng Q. are slightly stronger: 57% against 43%.

Over 21.5 games — 53%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Charaeva A. 1608, Zheng Q. 1818.

Probabilities

Games over 21.553%
Games under 21.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Charaeva A. games
  • Zheng Q. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Charaeva A.

  • 05.10Kartal S.2:0
  • 03.10Rybakina E.2:1
  • 01.10Starodubtseva Y.2:1
  • 24.09Bondar A.1:2
  • 22.09Kenin S.2:1

Zheng Q.

  • 05.10Bouzkova M.2:1
  • 03.10Kalinskaya A.1:1
  • 01.10Shi H.2:1
  • 24.09Paolini J.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Zheng Q.Svitolina E.9 October · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →