Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Wednesday, 7 October, MSK

Li A. — Svitolina E.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Li A.29%
Svitolina E.71%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Svitolina E. to win (71%), came true.

Svitolina E. are clear favourites: 71% against 29% for the opponent.

Over 20.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Li A. 1646, Svitolina E. 1864.

Probabilities

Games over 20.550%
Games under 20.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Li A. games
  • Svitolina E. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Li A.

  • 05.10Bencic B.2:0
  • 03.10Krueger A.2:0

Svitolina E.

  • 05.10Sakkari M.2:0
  • 03.10Siniakova K.2:1
  • 27.09Noskova L.0:2
  • 26.09Paolini J.2:0
  • 24.09Minnen G.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Zheng Q.Svitolina E.9 October · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • Li A.Osorio C.13 October · WTA · Wuhan
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →