Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Wednesday, 7 October, MSK

Jovic I. — Swiatek I.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Jovic I.34%
Swiatek I.66%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Swiatek I. to win (66%), came true.

Swiatek I. are clear favourites: 66% against 34% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Jovic I. 1803, Swiatek I. 1964.

Probabilities

Games over 21.548%
Games under 21.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Jovic I. games
  • Swiatek I. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Jovic I.

  • 05.10Rakhimova K.2:0
  • 03.10Dart H.2:1

Swiatek I.

  • 05.10Vekic D.2:1
  • 03.10Gao X.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Mertens E.Swiatek I.9 October · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.19.5
  • Jovic I.Yastremska D.14 October · WTA · Wuhan
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →