Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Friday, 9 October, MSK

De Minaur A. — Molcan A.

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Model prediction for 9 October

In play · estimate from before kick-off

De Minaur A.73%
Molcan A.27%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

De Minaur A. are clear favourites: 73% against 27% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: De Minaur A. 1787, Molcan A. 1599.

Probabilities

Games over 21.548%
Games under 21.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • De Minaur A. games
  • Molcan A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

De Minaur A.

  • 06.10Djokovic N.0:1
  • 05.10Hurkacz H.1:0
  • 04.10Rublev A.2:1
  • 03.10Halys Q.2:1
  • 01.10Navone M.2:0

Molcan A.

  • 07.10Cina F.2:1
  • 02.10Khachanov K.0:2
  • 01.10Machac T.2:0
  • 29.09Trungelliti M.2:0
  • 28.09Kopriva V.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →