Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Friday, 9 October, MSK

Sakamoto R. — Rublev A.

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Sakamoto R.30%
Rublev A.70%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Rublev A. to win (70%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 70% fails in about 31 matches out of 100 on average.

Rublev A. are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Sakamoto R. 1469, Rublev A. 1716.

Probabilities

Games over 22.550%
Games under 22.550%

100 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Sakamoto R. games
  • Rublev A. games
  • Score in sets
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Sakamoto R.

  • 07.10Trungelliti M.2:0
  • 06.10Jacquet K.2:1
  • 05.10Hong S. C.2:0
  • 30.09Arnaldi M.1:2

Rublev A.

  • 04.10De Minaur A.1:2
  • 03.10Safiullin R.2:1
  • 01.10Griekspoor T.2:1
  • 29.09Medvedev D.0:2
  • 28.09Jacquet K.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • De Minaur A.Sakamoto R.11 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:021.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →