Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Friday, 9 October, MSK

Mannarino A. — Cobolli F.

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

2:1Missed
Mannarino A.34%
Cobolli F.66%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Cobolli F. to win (66%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 66% fails in about 34 matches out of 100 on average.

Cobolli F. are clear favourites: 66% against 34% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Mannarino A. 1565, Cobolli F. 1680.

Probabilities

Games over 22.548%
Games under 22.552%

100 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Mannarino A. games
  • Cobolli F. games
  • Score in sets
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Mannarino A.

  • 07.10Basilashvili N.1:0
  • 29.09Carreno-Busta P.0:2
  • 28.09Kecmanovic M.2:1
  • 27.09Shapovalov D.1:2
  • 25.09Tabilo A.2:0

Cobolli F.

  • 01.10Safiullin R.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Khachanov K.Mannarino A.11 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:021.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →