De Minaur A. — Rublev A.
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:1Came true
In short
Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, De Minaur A. to win (59%), came true.
De Minaur A. are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.
Over 24.5 games — 52%.
Why
- Rating on hard: De Minaur A. 1783, Rublev A. 1720.
Probabilities
| Games over 24.5 | 52% |
| Games under 24.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- Games handicap
- Sets handicap
- First set
- De Minaur A. games
- Rublev A. games
- Score in sets
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Form
- 03.10Safiullin R.2:1
- 01.10Griekspoor T.2:1
- 29.09Medvedev D.0:2
- 28.09Jacquet K.2:0
- 27.09Gaston H.2:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Next matches
- De Minaur A.Hurkacz H.5 October · ATP · Beijing63371The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
- Sakamoto R.Rublev A.9 October · ATP · Shanghai30702The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
ATP on the same day
- 58421The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
- 89111The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.25.5
- 28722The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
- 67331The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
- 74261The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
- 37632The most likely outcome came true: 21:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →