Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Wednesday, 7 October, MSK

Mannarino A. — Basilashvili N.

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

1:0Came true
Mannarino A.52%
Basilashvili N.48%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Mannarino A. to win (52%), came true.

Evenly matched: Mannarino A. 52%, Basilashvili N. 48%.

Over 22.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Mannarino A. 1565, Basilashvili N. 1532.

Probabilities

Games over 22.549%
Games under 22.551%

100 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Mannarino A. games
  • Basilashvili N. games
  • Score in sets
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Mannarino A.

  • 29.09Carreno-Busta P.0:2
  • 28.09Kecmanovic M.2:1
  • 27.09Shapovalov D.1:2
  • 25.09Tabilo A.2:0
  • 24.09Shang J.2:0

Basilashvili N.

  • 06.10Draxl L.2:1
  • 05.10Ilagan A.2:1
  • 28.09Davidovich Fokina A.1:2
  • 27.09Brooksby J.2:0
  • 25.09Van De Zandschulp B.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Mannarino A.Cobolli F.9 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →