Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Sunday, 4 October, MSK

Muchova K. — Samsonova L.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Muchova K.77%
Samsonova L.23%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Muchova K. to win (77%), came true.

Muchova K. are clear favourites: 77% against 23% for the opponent.

Over 20.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Muchova K. 1895, Samsonova L. 1685.

Probabilities

Games over 20.552%
Games under 20.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Muchova K. games
  • Samsonova L. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Muchova K.

  • 02.10Boulter K.2:0
  • 27.09Kalinina A.2:0
  • 25.09Bouzas Maneiro J.2:0

Samsonova L.

  • 02.10Fruhvirtova L.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Muchova K.Osaka N.6 October · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Siniakova K.Samsonova L.13 October · WTA · Wuhan
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.18.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.18.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →