Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Sunday, 4 October, MSK

Noskova L. — Golubic V.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Noskova L.79%
Golubic V.21%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Noskova L. to win (79%), came true.

Noskova L. are clear favourites: 79% against 21% for the opponent.

Over 20.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Noskova L. 1816, Golubic V. 1583.

Probabilities

Games over 20.549%
Games under 20.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Noskova L. games
  • Golubic V. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Noskova L.

  • 02.10Ruse G.2:0
  • 27.09Svitolina E.2:0
  • 25.09Bucsa C.2:0
  • 22.09Boulter K.2:0

Golubic V.

  • 02.10Stearns P.2:1
  • 30.09Kalieva E.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Noskova L.Alexandrova E.6 October · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • Kasatkina D.Golubic V.10 October · WTA · Wuhan
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.18.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.18.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 79% will not happen in roughly 21 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →